An Energy Yield Assessment (EYA) is the formal engineering report projecting a solar plant's annual energy production over its 25-year operating life, with statistical confidence bands (P50, P75, P90, P99) used by lenders and investors for project finance decisions.
Quick Facts
| Field | Detail |
|---|---|
| Term | EYA — Energy Yield Assessment |
| Category | Engineering Math / Bankability |
| Engineering Discipline | Project Finance, Energy Modeling |
| Standard Reference | IEC 61724-1, NREL TP-7A40-60628 |
| Use Case | Bankable project finance |
| Difficulty Level | Advanced |
What’s in an EYA
- Executive summary — Plant capacity, P50/P90 yields, PR, LCOE.
- Site description — Coordinates, terrain, climate.
- Weather data analysis — Multi-year GHI, POA, temperature, soiling. Source citations.
- System description — Module, inverter, racking, ILR, GCR.
- Simulation methodology — PVsyst version, .PAN/.OND files, transposition model, shading scene.
- Loss diagram — Per-loss-category breakdown.
- Production projection — Hourly, monthly, annual. 25-year degradation curve.
- Statistical analysis — P50, P75, P90, P95, P99 with uncertainty breakdown.
- Sensitivity analysis — Impact of soiling, degradation, availability, weather extremes.
- Compliance check — IEC 61724-1, manufacturer specs.
- Reviewer commentary — Limitations, assumptions, recommendations.
- Appendix — PVsyst .PRJ file, raw outputs, weather data details.
EYA Stakeholders
| Role | Function |
|---|---|
| Developer | Initial EYA, design optimization |
| Independent Engineer (IE) | Review + independent EYA for lender |
| Lender | Uses P90 for debt sizing |
| Equity investor | Uses P50 for IRR projections |
| EPC | References EYA for performance guarantees |
Statistical Confidence Bands
| Metric | Use |
|---|---|
| P50 | Expected/mean — equity returns, revenue projections |
| P75 | Some commercial PPA hedges |
| P90 | Senior debt sizing — standard bankable |
| P95 | Aggressive lenders |
| P99 | Stress test, government loans |
Major IE Firms
DNV, UL Solutions, AECOM, Black & Veatch, R.W. Beck, Sterling and Wilson, Mahindra Susten, Tata Consulting Engineers, CRISIL.
Common Mistakes
- Outdated weather data (10-year TMY when 20+ available).
- Wrong .PAN/.OND files for the specific equipment ordered.
- Optimistic soiling assumptions for dusty climates.
- Single-year simulation instead of statistical analysis.
- Missing reviewer commentary.
Best Practices
- Use 20+ years of weather data.
- Cross-check PVsyst with SAM on high-value projects.
- Document every input override.
- Quantify each uncertainty source separately.
- Engage the IE early to align methodology.
Standards & Certifications
- IEC 61724-1 — PV system performance methodology.
- NREL TP-7A40-60628 — PV performance modeling best practices.
- IEC TS 61724-2/3/4 — Capacity evaluation, energy assessment methods.
Key Takeaways
- An EYA is the bankable energy production projection for a solar plant, including P50/P75/P90/P99 confidence bands.
- Required for utility-scale and most commercial debt-financed projects.
- Independent Engineer review produces the lender-acceptable version after developer first draft.
- PVsyst is the industry-standard simulation tool; SAM is the common cross-check.
- Uncertainty analysis is the critical differentiator from a basic PVsyst report.
Related Reading
An EYA rarely stands alone — it’s one deliverable inside a larger engineering and finance workflow. EPCs and developers assembling a full package of bankable documentation often source it as part of a broader solar design services engagement, and the choice of firm matters enough that it’s worth reading through our notes on how to choose a solar design partner before committing a project’s yield modeling to one. Since the report is only as credible as the simulation behind it, teams evaluating PVsyst and other yield-modeling software should treat that choice as inseparable from EYA quality. And because P50/P90 assumptions flow straight into project economics, our breakdown of SECI tariff math shows concretely how small changes in engineering inputs move bid pricing.
Frequently Asked Questions
10 commonly searched questions about EYA (Energy Yield Assessment).
What is an EYA?
Who writes an EYA?
What does an EYA include?
What software is used?
How long does an EYA take?
Is an EYA different from a PVsyst report?
Do all solar projects need an EYA?
What weather data should be used?
How is uncertainty calculated?
Why does the lender need an independent EYA?
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Nirav Dhanani